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A Technical Evaluation and Implications of New North Korean SRBM Launched on March 25, 2021 | |
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¹ßÇà ³âµµ | 2021 |
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This study will discuss the significances of North Korea¡¯s short-range ballistic missile (SRBM) test launch on March 25, 2021, including its flight characteristics, performance analysis, and the potential implication of the missile equipped with a high-yield warhead. There was a significant difference between the missile¡¯s flight distance of 450km reported by the ROK military on the day of launch and the missile range of 600km claimed by North Korea a day after launch. This was supposed to be due to the fact that the horizontal glide flight did not start at the lowest altitude from which the missile could be detected by the South Korean military. The flight distance was calculated under the assumption that the missile fell down along ballistic trajectory without glide flight. North Korea¡¯s recent tactical ballistic missile is not a just improved version of KN-23. It is assumed that this missile is using the most powerful solid propellant rocket motor currently developed by North Korea. This implies that North Korea possesses almost sufficient technological capability to develop solid propellant medium and/or long range missiles with high-yield warhead, including solid propellant ICBMs. South Korean media announced last year that the Korean military had developed the Hyunmoo-4, a missile capable of carrying a warhead weighing more than 2 tons. It is supposed to be a starting point of missile arms race between South Korea and North Korea. |