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    ¡®23³â 4¿ù 26ÀÏ ÇÑ¹Ì Á¤»óȸ´ã ¡º¿ö½ÌÅÏ ¼±¾ð¡» [Á¦1448È£]
      ¹ßÇàÀÏ  2023-04-28
    KIMA Newsletter [Á¦1448È£,2023.04.28] 2023³â ÇÑ¹Ì Á¤»óȸ´ã.pdf



                                 Photos of Presidents in Republic of Korea and United
                                                             States on April 26, 2023

    2023³â 4¿ù 26ÀÏ Çѱ¹ À±¼®¿­ ´ëÅë·É°ú ¹Ì±¹ Á¶ ¹ÙÀÌµç ´ëÅë·ÉÀº ¹é¾Ç°ü¿¡¼­ Á¤»óȸ´ãÀ» ÇÏ¿´´Ù.
    ¶ÇÇÑ, Á¤»óȸ´ã ÀÌÈÄÀÇ ¾ç±¹Àº ¡º°øµ¿¼º¸í¼­(Joint Statement)¡», ¡º¿ö½ÌÅÏ ¼±¾ð(Washington Declaration)¡»À» µ¿½Ã¿¡ ¹ßÇ¥ÇÏ¿´°í °øµ¿ ±âÀÚȸ°ßÀ» ÇÏ¿´´Ù.
    ƯÈ÷ Áö³­ 4¿ù 16ÀÏ ºÏÇÑÀÌ È­¼º-18È£ ´ë·ú°£ źµµ ¹Ì»çÀÏ(ICBM) ¹ß»ç¸¦ ÇÏ¿´°í, °ðÀÌ¾î ºÏÇÑÀÌ Á¦7Â÷ ÁöÇÏÇÙ½ÇÇèÀ» °­ÇàÇÒ Â¡ÈÄ°¡ Æ÷ÂøµÇ´Â °¡¿îµ¥ À̹ø Á¤»óȸ´ã¿¡¼­ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦ °­È­¸¦ ÇùÀÇÇÏ´Â ¾ç±¹ °£ÀÇ ±âÁ¸ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦Àü·«ÇùÀÇü(Extended Deterrence Strategy and Consultation Group: EDSCG)¿¡ Ãß°¡ÇØ, ¡ºÇÙ ÇùÀÇü(Nuclear Consultative Group: NCG)¡»À» â¼³Çϱâ·Î ÇÕÀÇÇÏ¿´À¸¸ç, À̴¡º¿ö½ÌÅÏ ¼±¾ð¡»¿¡ Æ÷ÇԵǾú´Ù.
    ´ÙÀ½Àº¡º¿ö½ÌÅÏ ¼±¾ð¡» ÁÖ¿ä ³»¿ëÀÌ´Ù.
    1. Çѱ¹Àº ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ¾à¼ÓÇÑ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦¿¡ ´ëÇØ °­ÇÑ ¹ÏÀ½(confidence)À» °®°í ÀÖÀ¸¸ç, Çѱ¹Àº ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ÇÙ ¾ïÁ¦(nuclear deterrent)¿¡ ÀÇÁ¸ÇÏ¿© ¾ò´Â ±¹°¡¾Èº¸»ó µµ¿ò(benefit)ÀÇ Á߿伺À» ÀÎÁ¤ÇÑ´Ù.
    ¹Ì±¹Àº Çѹݵµ¿¡ ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ ¹èÄ¡ÇÏ´Â °Í¿¡ ´ëÇØ Çѱ¹°ú ÇùÀǸ¦ Çϱâ À§ÇÑ 2022³â¿¡ ¹ßÇ¥µÈ ¹Ì±¹ ¡ºÇÙ¹èÄ¡°ËÅä¼­(Nuclear Posture Review)¡»¿¡¼­ ¼±¾ðµÈ °ø°³µÈ Á¤Ã¥(declaratory policy)¿¡ µû¶ó ¸ðµç ³ë·ÂÀ» ÇÒ °ÍÀÓÀ» ¾à¼ÓÇÑ´Ù.
    ÇÑ¹Ì ¾ç±¹Àº À̸¦ À§ÇØ »óÈ£ °ÇÀüÇÑ(robust) ±³·ù(communication)¿Í ±â¹Ýü°è(infrastructure)¸¦ À¯ÁöÇϸç, Çѱ¹Àº ±Û·Î¹ú ÇÙ¹«±â È®»ê ¹æÁö¸¦ À§ÇÑ Áß¿äÇÑ ±¹Á¦±Ô¹üÀÎ ¡ººñÇÙ¹«±â È®»ê ±ÝÁö Á¶¾à(Nonproliferation Treaty: NPT)¡»°ú ¡ºÇÑ¹Ì °£ ÇÙ¿¡³ÊÁöÀÇ ÆòÈ­Àû »ç¿ëÀ» À§ÇÑ ÇùÀÇ ¾à¼Ó ÇÕÀǼ­(US-ROK Agreement for Cooperation Concerning Peaceful Uses of Nuclear Energy)¡»¸¦ Á¸ÁßÇÒ °ÍÀ» ÀçÈ®ÀÎÇÏ¿´´Ù.
    2. ÇÑ¹Ì ¾ç±¹Àº È®ÀåµÈ ÇùÀÇ, ÇÙÀ§Çù °ü·Ã Á¤º¸°øÀ¯¸¦ ÅëÇØ ½Éµµ(deep)ÀÖ°í, Çù·ÂÀû(cooperative)ÀÎ ÇÙ ¾ïÁ¦·ÂÀ» À§ÇÑ ÀÇ»ç°áÁ¤(decision-making on nuclear deterrence)À» À§ÇØ ¾ç±¹ °£ ¡ºÇÙ ÇùÀÇ´Ü(NCG)¡»¸¦ ½Å¼³ÇÑ´Ù.
    ¾ç±¹Àº °ð â¼³µÉ ¡ºÇÙ ÇùÀÇ´Ü(NCG)¡»¸¦ ÅëÇØ È®Á¤¾ïÁ¦·ÂÀ» °­È­ÇÏ°í, ¾ç±¹ °£ ÇÙ°ú Àü·«Àû ¾ïÁ¦·Â ±âȹ ´É·ÂÀ» Çâ»ó½ÃÅ°¸ç, ºÏÇÑÀÌ ¡ººñÇÙ¹«±â È®»ê ±ÝÁö Á¶¾à(Nonproliferation Treaty)¡»ÀÇ ±¹Á¦±Ô¹ü ¹üÀ§±ÇÀ¸·Î º¹±ÍÇϵµ·Ï °ü¸®(manage)ÇÏ°Ô µÉ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.
    ÇÑ¹Ì µ¿¸ÍÀº Çѹݵµ¿¡¼­ÀÇ ÇÙ ¾ïÁ¦·ÂÀ» Àû¿ëÇϱâ À§ÇÑ ¹Ì±ºÀº ¿ì¹ß»çÅ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÇÙ ÀÛÀü(nuclear operation in contingency)À» Áö¿øÇϱâ À§ÇØ Çѱ¹ÀÇ Àç·¡½Ä ¼ö´Ü Áö¿ø(conventional support)ÀÌ ¾î¶»°Ô °³¼±µÇ´Â°¡¿¡ ´ëÇØ ¹üÁ¤ºÎ ºÎó(intraagency) °£ »çÀü ÇùÀÇ, ¿¬ÇÕÈÆ·Ã, ¿¬ÇÕ¿¬½ÀÀ» ÅëÇØ ÇÕµ¿ ÁýÇà°ú ±âȹ ´É·ÂÀ» Çâ»ó½Ãų °ÍÀÌ´Ù.
    ¶ÇÇÑ, ÇÑ¹Ì ¾ç±¹Àº ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ ÇÙ¹«±â¸¦ »ç¿ëÇØ¾ß ÇÏ´Â ¿ì¹ß»çÅÂ(contigency)¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ÇÑ¹Ì °£ °øµ¿ Á¢±Ù(joint approach)À» Çâ»ó½ÃÅ°±â À§ÇØ ¿ì¹ßÀû »óȲ¿¡¼­ÀÇ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦¸¦ À§ÇÑ µµ»óÈÆ·Ã(Table-Top Exercise: TTX)°ú ½Ã¹Ä·¹À̼Ç(simulation) ü°è¸¦ ±¸ÃàÇÑ´Ù.
    3. ¹Ì±¹ Á¶ ¹ÙÀÌµç ´ëÅë·ÉÀº ºÏÇÑÀÌ Çѱ¹¿¡ ´ëÇØ ¾î¶°ÇÑ ÇÙ¹«±â °ø°ÝÀ» °¨ÇàÇÏ´Â À§Çù¿¡ ´ëÇØ Áï°¢Àû(shift)ÀÌ°í ¿ì¼¼(ocerwheling)ÇÑ ÀÇ»ç°áÁ¤ÀÌ ÀÌ·ç¾îÁö°í, °ß°íÇÏ°í(enduring), öÅë(ironclad)°°Àº È®Àå¾ïÁ¦·Â(capability of Extended Deterrence)À» ½ÇÇàÇÒ °ÍÀÓÀ» ÀçÈ®ÀÎÇÏ¿´´Ù. ¶ÇÇÑ, ¹Ì±¹ÀÌ Çѱ¹¿¡ Á¦°øÇÒ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦·ÂÀº ÇÙ¹«±â(nuclear weapons)¸¦ Æ÷ÇÔÇÑ ¸ðµç °¡¿ëÇÑ ¼ö´ÜÀÌ µÉ °ÍÀ̶ó°í ¾ð±ÞÇÏ¿´´Ù.
    ¹Ì±¹Àº Á¤·ÊÀû Àü·«ÀÚ»ê(regular visibilities of strategic assets)À» Çѱ¹¿¡ ¹èÄ¡ÇÒ °ÍÀÌ´Ù. °ð Çѹݵµ ÁÖº¯ ÇØ¿ª¿¡ Àü°³ÇÒ ¹Ì Çرº ÇÙÀá¼öÇÔÀÇ ºÎ»ê ÀÔÇ×ÀÇ »ç·Ê¿¡¼­ ãÀ» ¼ö ÀÖÀ» °ÍÀ̸ç, ÀÌ´Â ÇÑ¹Ì °£ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ ÇÙ¹«±â ¹èÄ¡¿¡ µû¸¥ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦ Àü·«À» À§ÇÑ ¾ç±¹ °£ Çù·ÂÀÇ ´ëÇ¥ÀûÀÎ »ç·ÊÀÏ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.
    ¾Æ¿ï·¯ ÇÑ¹Ì ¾ç±¹Àº ±âÁ¸ÀÇ ÇÑ¹Ì È®Àå¾ïÁ¦Àü·«ÇùÀÇü(EDSCG)À» ÅëÇØ ÇùÀÇÇÏ´ø ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦·Â Á¦°ø ¼öÁØÀ»¡ºÇÙ ÇùÀÇ´Ü(NCG)¡»¸¦ ÅëÇØ ´õ¿í °­·ÂÇÑ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦·Â ¼öÁØÀ¸·Î °Ý»ó½Ãų °ÍÀ̸ç, ÇÑ¹Ì °£ ¿¬ÇÕ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦·ÂÀ» À§ÇÑ °øµ¿ ±âȹ ³ë·Â(joint planning efforts)À» ÅëÇØ À̸¦ ½ÇÇö½Ãų °ÍÀÌ´Ù.
    4. Çѱ¹ À±¼®¿­ ´ëÅë·ÉÀº ÇÑ¹Ì ¿¬ÇÕ¹æÀ§Å¼¼ ´É·ÂÀ» °­È­Çϱâ À§ÇÑ Àü¹æÀ§Àû ´É·Â(full range of its capabilities)À» °­È­ÇÒ °ÍÀ» ¾à¼ÓÇÏ¿´À¸¸ç, ÀÌ´Â °ð â¼³µÉ Çѱ¹±º Àü·« »ç·ÉºÎ(new ROK Strategic Command)¿Í ÇÑ¹Ì ¿¬ÇÕ»ç·ÉºÎ(US-ROK Combined Forces Command) °£ ±ä¹ÐÇÑ Çù·ÂÀ» ÁøÇàÇÏ°í, Çѱ¹±º Àü·«»ç·ÉºÎ¿Í ¹Ì Àü·« »ç·ÉºÎ(US Strategic Command) °£ ¹Ì±¹ÀÇ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦·Â °­È­¸¦ À§ÇÑ »õ·Î¿î µµ»óÈÆ·Ã(New TTX)°ú ½Ã¹Ä·¹À̼Ç(simulation) µîÀÇ ¿ÏÀü µ¿Á¶Çù·Â(lockstep)À¸·Î ³ªÅ¸³¯ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.
    5. ÇöÀç¿Í °°Àº ±ä¹ÚÇÑ À§Çùȯ°æÇÏ¿¡ ¾ç±¹ ´ëÅë·ÉÀº ±¹Á¦»çȸ¿¡ ´ëÇØ ÇÑ¹Ì ¾ç±¹ÀÌ °øµ¿¾Èº¸¸¦ À§ÇùÇÏ´Â ¸ðµç À§Çù¿¡ ´ëÀÀÇÏ´Â ÇÑ¹Ì µ¿¸ÍÀÇ °­·ÂÇÔÀ» º¸¿©ÁÖ°í, ´õ¿í ¹ßÀüµÈ È®Àå¾ïÁ¦·Â °­È­¸¦ À§ÇÑ ³ë·ÂÀ» º¸¿©ÁÖ¾ú´Ù.
    µ¿½Ã¿¡ ÇÑ¹Ì ¾ç±¹Àº ºÏÇÑ°úÀÇ ´ëÈ­(dialogue)¿Í ¿Ü±³Àû Çù»ó(diplomay)À» Á¶°Ç¾øÀÌ ÁøÇàÇÒ °ÍÀÓÀ» ºÐ¸íÈ÷ Çϸç, ÀÌ´Â ÇѹݵµÀÇ ºñÇÙÈ­(denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula)¸¦ ÁöÇâÇØ¾ß ÇÑ´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» ÀçÈ®ÀÎÇÏ¿´´Ù.
    * Ãâó: Leaders’ Joint Statement in Commermoration of the 70th Anniversary of the Alliance between ROK and US, April 26, 2023; Washington Declaration, April 26, 2023; Remarks by President Biden and President Yoon Suk Yeol of the Republic of Korea in Joint Press Conference, April 26, 2023.
    ÀúÀÛ±ÇÀÚ¨ÏÇѱ¹±º»ç¹®Á¦¿¬±¸¿ø(www.kima.re.kr)

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