한국군사
| 핵확장억제의 역사와 쟁점 : 미국의 對유럽 확장억제 사례와 함의* | |
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| The History and Issues of Nuclear Extended Deterrence : The Case of U.S. Extended Deterrence in Euro | |
| 저 자 | 손한별 |
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| 출 처 | 한국군사 |
| 발행 년도 | 2024. 6. |
| 주제 키워드 | 북대서양조약기구나토확장억제한미동맹보증공약핵협의그룹 |
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| 초 록 [국문] | |
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본 논문은 나토(NATO)를 사례로 하여 “미국 확장억제의 신뢰성에 대한 쟁점은 무엇이며, 이를 어떻게 극복할 것인가”를 분석한다. 이를 위해 미국의 유럽에 대한 확장억제 전략은 무엇이었으며, 나토 동맹국들은 어떤 우려와 요구를 가지고 있었는지를 살펴본다. 나토의 확장억제 사례는 아시아, 특히 북핵에 직면한 한미 동맹과 분명한 차이점을 가지기도 하지만, 미국이라는 동맹국과의 협의과정에서 |
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| 초 록 [영문] | |
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This paper analyzes the challenges and debates surrounding the credibility of the United States' extended deterrence, using NATO as a case study. For this purpose, it examines the U.S. extended deterrence strategy towards Europe and the concerns and demands of NATO allies. Despite clear differences between NATO's extended deterrence in Europe and the ROK-US alliance facing North Korea's nuclear threats, the issues and lessons from the U.S. alliance consultation provide insights for future directions and tasks. Over its 75 year history, NATO has coordinated the diverse national interests and policies of its 32 member countries to deter the threat from the Soviet Union (now Russia). Both the deployed tactical nuclear weapons and the Nuclear Planning Group (NPG) promise U.S. automatic intervention and provide deterrence and assurance to allies. However, NATO faces several challenges,including asymmetry in threat perception, differing views on the role of nuclear weapons, varying policy preferences and priorities, dilemmas between deterrence and assurance, and the integration of nuclear and conventional forces. South Korea nevertheless needs to draw lessons from NATO's experience to enhance the credibility and integrated effectiveness of U.S. extended deterrence. The paper suggests that after establishing the Nuclear Consultative Group (NCG), efforts should focus on clear declaratory policies, strategic integration, a comprehensive crisis management system, joint reviews of nuclear deterrence postures, and nuclear planning at the military level. |
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